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Farmers Preferences for Future Agricultural Land Use Under the Consideration of Climate Change
VerfasserPröbstl-Haider, Ulrike ; Mostegl, Nina M. ; Kelemen-Finan, Julia ; Haider, Wolfgang ; Formayer, Herbert ; Kantelhardt, Jochen ; Moser, Tobias ; Kapfer, Martin ; Trenholm, Ryan
Erschienen in
Environmental Management, Berlin, 2016, Jg. 58, H. 3, S. 446-464
ErschienenSpringer, 2016
DokumenttypAufsatz in einer Zeitschrift
Schlagwörter (EN)Decision-making / Climate change / Environmental premiums / Agri-environmental protection schemes / Land use change / Biodiversity / Austria
URNurn:nbn:at:at-ubbw:3-1500 Persistent Identifier (URN)
 Das Werk ist frei verfügbar
Farmers Preferences for Future Agricultural Land Use Under the Consideration of Climate Change [1.41 mb]
Zusammenfassung (Deutsch)

Abstract in deutscher Sprache nicht verfügbar

Zusammenfassung (Englisch)

Cultural landscapes in Austria are multifunctional through their simultaneous support of productive, habitat, regulatory, social, and economic functions. This study investigates, if changing climatic conditions in Austria will lead to landscape change. Based on the assumption that farmers are the crucial decision makers when it comes to the implementation of agricultural climate change policies, this study analyzes farmers decision-making under the consideration of potential future climate change scenarios and risk, varying economic conditions, and different policy regimes through a discrete choice experiment. Results show that if a warming climate will offer new opportunities to increase income, either through expansion of cash crop cultivation or new land use options such as short-term rotation forestry, these opportunities will almost always be seized. Even if high environmental premiums were offered to maintain current cultural landscapes, only 43 % of farmers would prefer the existing grassland cultivation. Therefore, the continuity of characteristic Austrian landscape patterns seems unlikely. In conclusion, despite governmental regulations of and incentives for agriculture, climate change will have significant effects on traditional landscapes. Any opportunities for crop intensification will be embraced, which will ultimately impact ecosystem services, tourism opportunities, and biodiversity.

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